Program

Stages

Room 1

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

Badge pick-up

08:30 - 09:00

Organizing Committee - Welcome & Logistics

09:00 - 09:05

Jari Liski, Chief Scientist, Finnish Meteorological Institute - Welcome

09:05 - 09:10

Michael Dietze, EFI Chair - Welcome

09:10 - 09:15

EFI Chapters: European Chapter (EEFI)

09:15 - 09:21

EFI Chapters: Oceania Chapter (OEFI)

09:21 - 09:27

EFI Chapters: Canadian Chapter (CEFI)

09:27 - 09:33

EFI Chapters: African Chapter (AEFI)

09:33 - 09:39

EFI Student Association (EFISA)

09:39 - 09:45

McLachlan, Overview and Updates from the Ecological Forecasting Initiative Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Working Group

09:45 - 10:00

Thomas, The NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge and the EFI-Research Coordination Network

10:00 - 10:15

Wheeler, Community forecasting of deciduous broadleaf spring phenology at U.S. Wheeler, National Ecological Observatory Network sites

10:15 - 10:30

Record, Ocean Ecosystem Forecasting through a Data Justice Lens

10:30 - 10:45

Dormann, Where does forecasting stop being science?

10:45 - 11:00

Break & Networking

11:00 - 11:30

Student Presentation: Horner, Quantifying and partitioning uncertainty in spatial ecological forecasts using Sobol

11:30 - 11:45

Wesselkamp, Study and application of forecast horizons in and beyond chaotic systems

11:45 - 12:00

Student Presentation: Laginhas, Effects of Coarsening Spatial Resolution on Pest Spread Forecasting Skill and Uncertainty

12:00 - 12:15

Oshinubi, Population growth of diverse species can be predicted by nonlinear averaging of temperature

12:15 - 12:30

Student Presentation: Saffer, Quantifying uncertainty in forecasts of when and where invasions happen

12:30 - 12:45

Student Presentation: Willson, Comparing model-data fusion methods for parameter estimation and state variable prediction using a forest gap model

12:45 - 13:00

Lunch & Networking

13:00 - 14:30

The role of ecological theory in species distribution and population predictions

14:30 - 15:00

Jarno Vanhatalo

On the importance of understanding uncertainties in data assimilation for marine biogeochemistry forecasting

15:00 - 15:30

Alison Fowler

Memory, chaos, and noise in ecological forecasting

15:30 - 16:00

Steve Munch

Break & Networking

16:00 - 16:30

Group Photo

16:30 - 16:40

[Poster] Hanna Serediuk, Forecasting insect dynamics under climate change: accounting for trade-offs in survival, reproduction, and development is key

16:40 - 16:45

[Poster] Cayelan Carey - Introduction to VERA, the Virginia Ecoforecast Reservoir Analysis: a new freshwater ecosystem forecasting challenge

16:45 - 16:50

[Poster] Mary Lofton, Macrosystems EDDIE: A modular curriculum to teach undergraduates ecological forecasting improves student and instructor confidence in their data science skills

16:50 - 16:55

[Poster] Freya Olsson - What can we learn from 10,000 forecasts? A synthesis of submissions to the aquatics theme of the NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge

16:55 - 17:00

[Student Poster] Iris Oberklammer - See(d)ing the future: first steps toward iterative forecasting of annual seed production in six European tree species

17:00 - 17:05

[Student Poster] Kate Lamkin - Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool to Simulate the Effects of Agriculture on Water Quality

17:05 - 17:10

[Student Poster - Virtual] Viktoria Thuroczy - Comparison of aquatic and terrestrial life history strategies: adaptations to the higher environmental variability of terrestrial systems result in lower reproduction and longer life span

17:10 - 17:15

[Student poster - Virtual] Maya Lemaire - Warming trends linked to increases in winter extreme events in the Arctic with potentially devastating impacts on biota

17:15 - 17:20

[Poster Virtual] Vishesh Diengdoh - Habitat suitability of birds in India under present conditions and future scenarios

17:20 - 17:25

[Student Poster] Nima Farchadi - Integrating diverse data for robust species distribution models in a dynamic ocean

17:25 - 17:30

[Student Poster] Stefan Fallert - metaRange: A Framework to Build Mechanistic, Population-Based and Metabolic Constrained (Multi-) Species Distribution Models

17:30 - 17:35

[Poster] Richard Shefferson - Matrix projection in population ecology: which models predict most accurately? An assessment with five herbs

17:35 - 17:40

[Poster] Rob Cooke - Plausible futures for British biodiversity under climate and land-use change

17:40 - 17:45

[Poster] Alfonso Allen-Perkins - Enhancing pollination modeling: Integrating convolutional neural networks with traditional methods for improved predictions

17:45 - 17:50

[Poster] David LeBauer - Projecting Soil Carbon Stocks and Greenhouse Gas Fluxes across California’s Croplands

17:50 - 17:55

[Poster] Quentin Bell - Two peas in a pod: a digital twin for climate smart agriculture

17:55 - 18:00

Welcome reception

18:00 - 20:00

Room 2

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

Badge pick-up

08:30 - 09:00

Break & Networking

11:00 - 11:30

Roy, Enhancing bird migration near real-time forecasts with synoptic and local weather pattern dynamics

11:30 - 11:45

Zobitz, Forecasting soil carbon fluxes across a continental scale network

11:45 - 12:00

Student Presentation: Davison, Bear in Mind: A digital twin of human-bear conflict in Stara Planina, Bulgaria

12:00 - 12:15

Brett, Developing an Online Tool to Forecast Pest-Risk for Ireland

12:15 - 12:30

Yoccoz, Short-term forecasting of Arctic ecosystems integrating meteorological data with food web and time series models: The Climate-Ecological Observatory of Arctic Tundra (COAT)

12:30 - 12:45

Sun, Ecological forecasting and operational information systems support sustainable ocean management

12:45 - 13:00

Lunch & Networking

13:00 - 14:30

Break & Networking

16:00 - 16:30

Group Photo

16:30 - 16:40

Alison Fowler

Masilin Gudoshava

Steve Munch

Jelena Pantel

Andy Purvis

Rob Salguero-Gomez

Laura Uusitalo

Jarno Vanhatalo

Damaris Zurell

Important dates

Conference handbook

EEFI General Assembly

Organizing committee

The meeting venue: Dynamicum

Latest news

Travel considerations

EFI Code of Conduct

Visit EFI Website

Book Group Opportunity

Conference Abstract Book

Conference Program (PDF version)

Program

Choose date

Room 1

Badge pick-up

Organizing Committee - Welcome & Logistics

Jari Liski, Chief Scientist, Finnish Meteorological Institute - Welcome

Michael Dietze, EFI Chair - Welcome

EFI Chapters: European Chapter (EEFI)

EFI Chapters: Oceania Chapter (OEFI)

EFI Chapters: Canadian Chapter (CEFI)

EFI Chapters: African Chapter (AEFI)

EFI Student Association (EFISA)

McLachlan, Overview and Updates from the Ecological Forecasting Initiative Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Working Group

Thomas, The NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge and the EFI-Research Coordination Network

Wheeler, Community forecasting of deciduous broadleaf spring phenology at U.S. Wheeler, National Ecological Observatory Network sites

Record, Ocean Ecosystem Forecasting through a Data Justice Lens

Dormann, Where does forecasting stop being science?

Break & Networking

Student Presentation: Horner, Quantifying and partitioning uncertainty in spatial ecological forecasts using Sobol

Wesselkamp, Study and application of forecast horizons in and beyond chaotic systems

Student Presentation: Laginhas, Effects of Coarsening Spatial Resolution on Pest Spread Forecasting Skill and Uncertainty

Oshinubi, Population growth of diverse species can be predicted by nonlinear averaging of temperature

Student Presentation: Saffer, Quantifying uncertainty in forecasts of when and where invasions happen

Student Presentation: Willson, Comparing model-data fusion methods for parameter estimation and state variable prediction using a forest gap model

Lunch & Networking

The role of ecological theory in species distribution and population predictions

On the importance of understanding uncertainties in data assimilation for marine biogeochemistry forecasting

Memory, chaos, and noise in ecological forecasting

Break & Networking

Group Photo

[Poster] Hanna Serediuk, Forecasting insect dynamics under climate change: accounting for trade-offs in survival, reproduction, and development is key

[Poster] Cayelan Carey - Introduction to VERA, the Virginia Ecoforecast Reservoir Analysis: a new freshwater ecosystem forecasting challenge

[Poster] Mary Lofton, Macrosystems EDDIE: A modular curriculum to teach undergraduates ecological forecasting improves student and instructor confidence in their data science skills

[Poster] Freya Olsson - What can we learn from 10,000 forecasts? A synthesis of submissions to the aquatics theme of the NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge

[Student Poster] Iris Oberklammer - See(d)ing the future: first steps toward iterative forecasting of annual seed production in six European tree species

[Student Poster] Kate Lamkin - Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool to Simulate the Effects of Agriculture on Water Quality

[Student Poster - Virtual] Viktoria Thuroczy - Comparison of aquatic and terrestrial life history strategies: adaptations to the higher environmental variability of terrestrial systems result in lower reproduction and longer life span

[Student poster - Virtual] Maya Lemaire - Warming trends linked to increases in winter extreme events in the Arctic with potentially devastating impacts on biota

[Poster Virtual] Vishesh Diengdoh - Habitat suitability of birds in India under present conditions and future scenarios

[Student Poster] Nima Farchadi - Integrating diverse data for robust species distribution models in a dynamic ocean

[Student Poster] Stefan Fallert - metaRange: A Framework to Build Mechanistic, Population-Based and Metabolic Constrained (Multi-) Species Distribution Models

[Poster] Richard Shefferson - Matrix projection in population ecology: which models predict most accurately? An assessment with five herbs

[Poster] Rob Cooke - Plausible futures for British biodiversity under climate and land-use change

[Poster] Alfonso Allen-Perkins - Enhancing pollination modeling: Integrating convolutional neural networks with traditional methods for improved predictions

[Poster] David LeBauer - Projecting Soil Carbon Stocks and Greenhouse Gas Fluxes across California’s Croplands

[Poster] Quentin Bell - Two peas in a pod: a digital twin for climate smart agriculture

Welcome reception

Room 2

Badge pick-up

Break & Networking

Roy, Enhancing bird migration near real-time forecasts with synoptic and local weather pattern dynamics

Zobitz, Forecasting soil carbon fluxes across a continental scale network

Student Presentation: Davison, Bear in Mind: A digital twin of human-bear conflict in Stara Planina, Bulgaria

Brett, Developing an Online Tool to Forecast Pest-Risk for Ireland

Yoccoz, Short-term forecasting of Arctic ecosystems integrating meteorological data with food web and time series models: The Climate-Ecological Observatory of Arctic Tundra (COAT)

Sun, Ecological forecasting and operational information systems support sustainable ocean management

Lunch & Networking

Break & Networking

Group Photo